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The January 2026 Newsletter

The most powerful force shaping our choices is often completely invisible to us (despite hiding in plain sight).

Imagine you’re filling out a simple form at the DMV. You’re in a hurry, the line is long, and you just want to get back to your day. There’s a box about organ donation, and it comes pre-selected. You notice it, but ultimately shrug and move on. Months later, you learn your state has some of the highest donor rates in the country. Did people here suddenly become more altruistic, or did the form make generosity the path of least resistance?

Chances are - while I’m sure the people of your state are lovely - the donation rates can likely be attributed more to the composition of the form than to the kind-heartedness of your fellow citizens. In fact, the image below (courtesy of Johnson & Goldstein, 2003) shows organ donation rates by country. You’ll quickly notice a very obvious pattern: the members of the four countries on the left seem far less inclined to donate their organs than do the members of the remaining countries on the right. As tempting as it may be to construct a narrative about how niche cultural differences might be driving these effects (e.g., “everyone knows that the people of Belgium are notoriously altruistic!”), in reality, the findings can be explained by something even more simple (perhaps shockingly simple): whether the country’s default option was opt-in or opt-out.

Surely this must be a joke, right? Are people seriously making one of the most consequential decisions of their lives (i.e., whether your organs can be used to save the life - or lives - of another in the event of your death) based on whether or not a box comes pre-ticked?

The answer is yes, and it doesn’t stop at organ donation.

Take something that could be considered as similarly consequential: your retirement savings. Research by Madrian and Shea (2001) found that, when “a large, publicly-traded Fortune 500 company” shifted their 401(k) contribution plans from one where employees needed to “affirmatively elect participation” (i.e., they were “opted out” unless they explicitly said otherwise) to one where they were automatically enrolled unless they stated otherwise (i.e., they were “opted in” as a default), participation rates rose from 37% to 86%!

This wasn’t a small company, either: it had well over 5,000 employees on staff.

We like to believe that our biggest choices are the product of deep reflection and rational consideration of different options, and sometimes that’s the case. But we dramatically underestimate how often inertia can trump intention.

This is the power of defaults.

You can think of default options as the quietest shapers of our choices. In a world where decisions can seem endless (and the sheer volume of information can be overwhelming), our brains often seek the refuge of choices that are made for us. Don’t get me wrong: our brains are remarkable problem-solving machines that, when motivated, are capable of incredible feats of reason. But that caveat is the key: when motivated. While we have the potential for critical thinking, we have the propensity for laziness - even when it comes to very big choices. In fact, humans have been described by psychologists as “cognitive misers” who, in an effort to manage our cognitive load, are wired to conserve mental energy wherever possible.

Defaults tap into this predisposition, making it easy to “make” choices (without having to really think too much about them).

Richard Thaler, the Nobel Prize-winning behavioral economist, explains this as our "path of least resistance" instinct. When faced with complex choices, our brains will rarely carefully analyze every option. Instead, we look for the easiest, safest path. What has been “selected for us” is typically viewed as that path.

There are a number of reasons why defaults are so powerful:

Friction Asymmetry: Doing nothing is easier than doing something. Defaults allow us to take action by doing nothing (i.e., action via inaction). That tiny effort required to go against the default filters out everyone except those with the strongest preferences to the contrary.

Implied Endorsement: A pre-selected option feels like a recommendation. If the system picked it, it must be safe, typical, or wise. Especially in domains of uncertainty, we feel comfort in the belief that “someone smart must have thought this through.”

Adhering to “The Norm”: Defaults serve as an implicit signal of what others are doing. When in doubt or undecided, we often seek the refuge of decisions endorsed by the many. It might not be a perfect choice, but can so many people be that wrong?

Loss Aversion and Omission versus Commission: Changing a default feels like taking responsibility for the possible downsides. By “letting the system decide,” we protect ourselves from assuming too much personal responsibility (and regret) for a bad choice. Importantly, research has shown that humans view acts of omission and commission differently. For example, people assign greater responsibility to those who have made a choice to do something (e.g., killing someone) than those who make a choice that produces the same results via not doing something (e.g., allowing someone to die that you could have saved; Spranca, Minsk, & Baron, 1991). Because of this “omission/commission bias,” sticking with a default is an act of omission, and thus something that we feel less responsibility for.

Defaults reliably steer behavior across domains - from organ donation and retirement saving to eating habits, privacy settings, and data sharing. By minimizing effort, signaling norms, and lowering perceived risk, defaults set a baseline from which we rarely stray. In practice, that baseline becomes the choice for many of us, not because it is perfect, but because it is easy, familiar, and defensible. But understanding default effects should compel us to design choice architecture more responsibly, balancing influence with autonomy to promote beneficial outcomes without undermining freedom.

Applying the Insight

The goal of defaults shouldn’t be to “trick” people into making poor choices, but instead to make good choices both easier and more intuitive. Ideally, it should be about creating an intentional design that aims to help people bridge the attitude-behavior gap (i.e., helping people do what they say they want to do; save more, make healthier decisions, etc.).

Here are some ways you can achieve this:

1. Align Defaults with User Intentions

The most powerful defaults feel like a natural extension of what people already want to do. In retirement savings, for instance, automatic enrollment works because most people genuinely want to save money but struggle to take the first step.

Ask yourself: "Does this default make it easier for people to do what they already know they should do?"

2. Maintain Transparent Choice

A good default should never feel like a trap. Always make it:

Easy to understand

Simple to change

Clearly explained

In practice, this might mean including a brief explanation of why a particular option is set as default. For example, "We've set this privacy option to protect your data by default" provides context and builds trust.

3. Consider Cognitive Load

Not all choices are created equal. Use defaults more strategically in:

Complex decisions with high cognitive burden

Choices people find overwhelming

Areas where procrastination is common

Avoid defaults in deeply personal or high-stakes decisions where individual nuance matters most.

Before implementing a default, it can be helpful to quickly run through these questions:

Intention Check: Does this default genuinely help users?

Reversibility: Can users easily opt out or change the setting?

Transparency: Is the reason for the default clear?

Fairness: Could this default disadvantage specific groups?

Ethical Alignment: Would I be comfortable if this default were applied to me?